144 lines
34 KiB
YAML
144 lines
34 KiB
YAML
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string: "{\"id\":\"Dx7vPilTr1rgQQVETM2Z\",\"creatorId\":\"k13AzY3mu8XTju3xRZV3P8qBjEC2\",\"creatorUsername\":\"LivInTheLookingGlass\",\"creatorName\":\"Olivia\",\"createdTime\":1663180458290,\"creatorAvatarUrl\":\"https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2FLivInTheLookingGlass%2FP1120243.jpg?alt=media&token=7bb458ea-8b98-433b-974e-4407497b9d97\",\"closeTime\":1663516799000,\"question\":\"Which
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feature of my market manager should I prioritize?\",\"tags\":[],\"url\":\"https://manifold.markets/LivInTheLookingGlass/which-feature-of-my-market-manager\",\"pool\":{\"0\":14.5,\"1\":19.5,\"2\":16.5,\"3\":12.5,\"4\":20.5,\"5\":14.5,\"6\":23.5,\"7\":12.5},\"outcomeType\":\"MULTIPLE_CHOICE\",\"mechanism\":\"dpm-2\",\"volume\":34,\"volume7Days\":0,\"volume24Hours\":0,\"isResolved\":true,\"resolution\":\"MKT\",\"resolutionTime\":1663556015520,\"lastUpdatedTime\":1663712102890,\"answers\":[{\"username\":\"LivInTheLookingGlass\",\"number\":0,\"id\":\"0\",\"avatarUrl\":\"https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2FLivInTheLookingGlass%2FP1120243.jpg?alt=media&token=7bb458ea-8b98-433b-974e-4407497b9d97\",\"text\":\"Packaging
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it for use by others\",\"name\":\"Olivia\",\"contractId\":\"Dx7vPilTr1rgQQVETM2Z\",\"userId\":\"k13AzY3mu8XTju3xRZV3P8qBjEC2\",\"createdTime\":1663180458290,\"probability\":0.09812875918912897},{\"number\":1,\"userId\":\"k13AzY3mu8XTju3xRZV3P8qBjEC2\",\"username\":\"LivInTheLookingGlass\",\"createdTime\":1663180458290,\"contractId\":\"Dx7vPilTr1rgQQVETM2Z\",\"name\":\"Olivia\",\"id\":\"1\",\"text\":\"Unit
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tests where easy\",\"avatarUrl\":\"https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2FLivInTheLookingGlass%2FP1120243.jpg?alt=media&token=7bb458ea-8b98-433b-974e-4407497b9d97\",\"probability\":0.15666072621964802},{\"avatarUrl\":\"https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2FLivInTheLookingGlass%2FP1120243.jpg?alt=media&token=7bb458ea-8b98-433b-974e-4407497b9d97\",\"contractId\":\"Dx7vPilTr1rgQQVETM2Z\",\"text\":\"Hooks
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to perform actions on resolution\",\"name\":\"Olivia\",\"userId\":\"k13AzY3mu8XTju3xRZV3P8qBjEC2\",\"id\":\"2\",\"username\":\"LivInTheLookingGlass\",\"createdTime\":1663180458290,\"number\":2,\"probability\":0.11795500111383382},{\"username\":\"LivInTheLookingGlass\",\"text\":\"Issue
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tracking on places other than GitHub\",\"avatarUrl\":\"https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2FLivInTheLookingGlass%2FP1120243.jpg?alt=media&token=7bb458ea-8b98-433b-974e-4407497b9d97\",\"contractId\":\"Dx7vPilTr1rgQQVETM2Z\",\"id\":\"3\",\"createdTime\":1663180458290,\"name\":\"Olivia\",\"number\":3,\"userId\":\"k13AzY3mu8XTju3xRZV3P8qBjEC2\",\"probability\":0.06961461349966586},{\"username\":\"LivInTheLookingGlass\",\"id\":\"4\",\"contractId\":\"Dx7vPilTr1rgQQVETM2Z\",\"avatarUrl\":\"https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2FLivInTheLookingGlass%2FP1120243.jpg?alt=media&token=7bb458ea-8b98-433b-974e-4407497b9d97\",\"userId\":\"k13AzY3mu8XTju3xRZV3P8qBjEC2\",\"name\":\"Olivia\",\"text\":\"Mirroring
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other market sites\",\"createdTime\":1663180458290,\"number\":4,\"probability\":0.18021831142793496},{\"id\":\"5\",\"text\":\"Scheduling
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market creation ahead of time\",\"userId\":\"k13AzY3mu8XTju3xRZV3P8qBjEC2\",\"avatarUrl\":\"https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2FLivInTheLookingGlass%2FP1120243.jpg?alt=media&token=7bb458ea-8b98-433b-974e-4407497b9d97\",\"contractId\":\"Dx7vPilTr1rgQQVETM2Z\",\"createdTime\":1663180458290,\"name\":\"Olivia\",\"number\":5,\"username\":\"LivInTheLookingGlass\",\"probability\":0.09300512363555358},{\"createdTime\":1663180458290,\"username\":\"LivInTheLookingGlass\",\"avatarUrl\":\"https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2FLivInTheLookingGlass%2FP1120243.jpg?alt=media&token=7bb458ea-8b98-433b-974e-4407497b9d97\",\"text\":\"Derivative
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markets of Manifold markets\",\"id\":\"6\",\"userId\":\"k13AzY3mu8XTju3xRZV3P8qBjEC2\",\"contractId\":\"Dx7vPilTr1rgQQVETM2Z\",\"number\":6,\"name\":\"Olivia\",\"probability\":0.2148028514145689},{\"avatarUrl\":\"https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2FLivInTheLookingGlass%2FP1120243.jpg?alt=media&token=7bb458ea-8b98-433b-974e-4407497b9d97\",\"createdTime\":1663180458290,\"username\":\"LivInTheLookingGlass\",\"number\":7,\"name\":\"Olivia\",\"userId\":\"k13AzY3mu8XTju3xRZV3P8qBjEC2\",\"text\":\"Support
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for multiple accounts in the same database\",\"contractId\":\"Dx7vPilTr1rgQQVETM2Z\",\"id\":\"7\",\"probability\":0.06961461349966586}],\"comments\":[{\"userAvatarUrl\":\"https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2FLivInTheLookingGlass%2FP1120243.jpg?alt=media&token=7bb458ea-8b98-433b-974e-4407497b9d97\",\"id\":\"qwWIe8D7lPlGbA9JGe9y\",\"userName\":\"Olivia\",\"replyToCommentId\":\"6UPILlRwqS8gWr8sGwwg\",\"content\":{\"type\":\"doc\",\"content\":[{\"type\":\"paragraph\",\"content\":[{\"text\":\"This
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ended up not taking much effort, so I was able to do it when making tests\",\"type\":\"text\"}]}]},\"commentType\":\"contract\",\"commenterPositionShares\":18,\"userUsername\":\"LivInTheLookingGlass\",\"createdTime\":1663712100842,\"commenterPositionOutcome\":\"NO\",\"contractId\":\"Dx7vPilTr1rgQQVETM2Z\",\"userId\":\"k13AzY3mu8XTju3xRZV3P8qBjEC2\",\"contractSlug\":\"which-feature-of-my-market-manager\",\"contractQuestion\":\"Which
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feature of my market manager should I prioritize?\"},{\"content\":{\"content\":[{\"content\":[{\"type\":\"text\",\"text\":\"Formatting
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done\"}],\"type\":\"paragraph\"}],\"type\":\"doc\"},\"contractId\":\"Dx7vPilTr1rgQQVETM2Z\",\"id\":\"SDhKRmBEKjNqR07ZWDs6\",\"userName\":\"Olivia\",\"userUsername\":\"LivInTheLookingGlass\",\"commenterPositionShares\":18,\"commenterPositionOutcome\":\"NO\",\"contractSlug\":\"which-feature-of-my-market-manager\",\"contractQuestion\":\"Which
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feature of my market manager should I prioritize?\",\"userId\":\"k13AzY3mu8XTju3xRZV3P8qBjEC2\",\"userAvatarUrl\":\"https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2FLivInTheLookingGlass%2FP1120243.jpg?alt=media&token=7bb458ea-8b98-433b-974e-4407497b9d97\",\"replyToCommentId\":\"XspW8hazMVcSBWsZTxPQ\",\"commentType\":\"contract\",\"createdTime\":1663712080520},{\"userName\":\"Olivia\",\"content\":{\"type\":\"doc\",\"content\":[{\"type\":\"paragraph\",\"content\":[{\"attrs\":{\"label\":\"Forrest\",\"id\":\"2ekxJD8MeMfp96gghpjy3PRxjtW2\"},\"type\":\"mention\"},{\"type\":\"text\",\"text\":\"
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Gah, good catch on the typo\"}]},{\"type\":\"paragraph\"},{\"type\":\"paragraph\",\"content\":[{\"type\":\"text\",\"text\":\"I'm
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worrying about formatting a little later, as not all of my market types can
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\ even support this yet. Once I have it working everywhere, and I have a good
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idea on how to tag rules as supporting only specific market types, then I
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will work on that\"}]}]},\"userId\":\"k13AzY3mu8XTju3xRZV3P8qBjEC2\",\"userAvatarUrl\":\"https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2FLivInTheLookingGlass%2FP1120243.jpg?alt=media&token=7bb458ea-8b98-433b-974e-4407497b9d97\",\"contractSlug\":\"which-feature-of-my-market-manager\",\"commentType\":\"contract\",\"commenterPositionOutcome\":\"NO\",\"userUsername\":\"LivInTheLookingGlass\",\"commenterPositionShares\":18,\"createdTime\":1663625807846,\"contractQuestion\":\"Which
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feature of my market manager should I prioritize?\",\"id\":\"lZEctZUPtpJNf13nQ7rB\",\"contractId\":\"Dx7vPilTr1rgQQVETM2Z\",\"replyToCommentId\":\"XspW8hazMVcSBWsZTxPQ\"},{\"userUsername\":\"Forrest\",\"commenterPositionShares\":19,\"commentType\":\"contract\",\"contractSlug\":\"which-feature-of-my-market-manager\",\"userId\":\"2ekxJD8MeMfp96gghpjy3PRxjtW2\",\"createdTime\":1663605614532,\"userAvatarUrl\":\"https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2FForrest%2Fwolf.png?alt=media&token=f91d3241-6b49-4f47-adba-d226fde95f2e\",\"contractId\":\"Dx7vPilTr1rgQQVETM2Z\",\"replyToCommentId\":\"XspW8hazMVcSBWsZTxPQ\",\"content\":{\"type\":\"doc\",\"content\":[{\"content\":[{\"type\":\"text\",\"text\":\"Suggestions:\"},{\"type\":\"hardBreak\"},{\"marks\":[{\"type\":\"code\"}],\"text\":\"This
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market will is resolving\",\"type\":\"text\"},{\"type\":\"text\",\"text\":\"
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should probably be \"},{\"text\":\"This market is resolving\",\"type\":\"text\",\"marks\":[{\"type\":\"code\"}]},{\"type\":\"text\",\"text\":\"
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\"},{\"type\":\"hardBreak\"},{\"type\":\"text\",\"text\":\"Truncating the
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probabilities to, say, four decimal places would be good for readability in
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my option. (A case could be made for % formatting them to match what Manifold
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does in the UI, but I don't think that matters as much.)\"}],\"type\":\"paragraph\"}]},\"commenterPositionOutcome\":\"NO\",\"contractQuestion\":\"Which
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feature of my market manager should I prioritize?\",\"id\":\"EBIma0oZQsWNUt7NrIrn\",\"userName\":\"Forrest\"},{\"contractSlug\":\"which-feature-of-my-market-manager\",\"userId\":\"k13AzY3mu8XTju3xRZV3P8qBjEC2\",\"contractId\":\"Dx7vPilTr1rgQQVETM2Z\",\"commenterPositionShares\":18,\"createdTime\":1663556184749,\"userAvatarUrl\":\"https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2FLivInTheLookingGlass%2FP1120243.jpg?alt=media&token=7bb458ea-8b98-433b-974e-4407497b9d97\",\"commenterPositionOutcome\":\"NO\",\"content\":{\"content\":[{\"content\":[{\"text\":\"I
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am currently testing resolution explanations. Note that for this market in
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particular there is a known bug, in that I cannot get probability from the
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API and despite my best efforts cannot calculate implied probability in the
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same way as the site just yet.\",\"type\":\"text\"}],\"type\":\"paragraph\"},{\"type\":\"paragraph\"},{\"type\":\"paragraph\",\"content\":[{\"type\":\"text\",\"text\":\"With
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that aside, how does the following read?\"}]},{\"type\":\"paragraph\",\"content\":[{\"type\":\"text\",\"text\":\"
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\"}]},{\"type\":\"paragraph\",\"content\":[{\"type\":\"text\",\"text\":\"This
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market will is resolving because of the following trigger(s):\"},{\"type\":\"hardBreak\"},{\"type\":\"text\",\"text\":\"\_
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- If the current time is past 2022-09-18 11:59:59 (-> True)\"},{\"type\":\"hardBreak\"},{\"type\":\"hardBreak\"},{\"text\":\"It
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will follow the decision tree below:\",\"type\":\"text\"},{\"type\":\"hardBreak\"},{\"text\":\"-
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If the human operator agrees:\",\"type\":\"text\"},{\"type\":\"hardBreak\"},{\"type\":\"text\",\"text\":\"\_
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- Resolves to the 3 most probable answers, weighted by their probability.
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(-> {6: 0.3700787401574803, 4: 0.3228346456692913, 1: 0.30708661417322836})\"},{\"type\":\"hardBreak\"},{\"type\":\"hardBreak\"},{\"text\":\"Final
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Value: {6: 0.3700787401574803, 4: 0.3228346456692913, 1: 0.30708661417322836}\",\"type\":\"text\"}]}],\"type\":\"doc\"},\"userName\":\"Olivia\",\"userUsername\":\"LivInTheLookingGlass\",\"id\":\"XspW8hazMVcSBWsZTxPQ\",\"contractQuestion\":\"Which
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feature of my market manager should I prioritize?\",\"commentType\":\"contract\"},{\"contractQuestion\":\"Which
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feature of my market manager should I prioritize?\",\"commenterPositionOutcome\":\"NO\",\"content\":{\"type\":\"doc\",\"content\":[{\"type\":\"paragraph\",\"content\":[{\"text\":\"#
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Derivative markets of Manifold markets\",\"type\":\"text\"}]},{\"type\":\"paragraph\"},{\"content\":[{\"type\":\"text\",\"text\":\"Would
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include\"}],\"type\":\"paragraph\"},{\"type\":\"bulletList\",\"content\":[{\"content\":[{\"content\":[{\"text\":\"Conditional
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markets\",\"type\":\"text\"}],\"type\":\"paragraph\"}],\"type\":\"listItem\"},{\"content\":[{\"content\":[{\"type\":\"text\",\"text\":\"Markets
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about time-to-close\"}],\"type\":\"paragraph\"}],\"type\":\"listItem\"},{\"type\":\"listItem\",\"content\":[{\"type\":\"paragraph\",\"content\":[{\"text\":\"etc\",\"type\":\"text\"}]}]}]},{\"type\":\"paragraph\"},{\"attrs\":{\"src\":\"https://manifold.markets/embed/LivInTheLookingGlass/what-sorts-of-derivative-markets-wo\",\"allowfullscreen\":true,\"height\":0,\"frameborder\":0},\"type\":\"iframe\"}]},\"commenterPositionShares\":16,\"createdTime\":1663181095917,\"userName\":\"Olivia\",\"userUsername\":\"LivInTheLookingGlass\",\"userAvatarUrl\":\"https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2FLivInTheLookingGlass%2FP1120243.jpg?alt=media&token=7bb458ea-8b98-433b-974e-4407497b9d97\",\"userId\":\"k13AzY3mu8XTju3xRZV3P8qBjEC2\",\"id\":\"kaV0CiyTrOX8msZIpw3c\",\"contractSlug\":\"which-feature-of-my-market-manager\",\"contractId\":\"Dx7vPilTr1rgQQVETM2Z\",\"commentType\":\"contract\"},{\"userUsername\":\"LivInTheLookingGlass\",\"userName\":\"Olivia\",\"commenterPositionOutcome\":\"NO\",\"userAvatarUrl\":\"https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2FLivInTheLookingGlass%2FP1120243.jpg?alt=media&token=7bb458ea-8b98-433b-974e-4407497b9d97\",\"contractId\":\"Dx7vPilTr1rgQQVETM2Z\",\"createdTime\":1663181033414,\"id\":\"6UPILlRwqS8gWr8sGwwg\",\"contractSlug\":\"which-feature-of-my-market-manager\",\"userId\":\"k13AzY3mu8XTju3xRZV3P8qBjEC2\",\"commenterPositionShares\":16,\"commentType\":\"contract\",\"content\":{\"content\":[{\"type\":\"paragraph\",\"content\":[{\"type\":\"text\",\"text\":\"#
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Packaging it for use by others\"}]},{\"type\":\"paragraph\"},{\"content\":[{\"text\":\"There
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are two parts to this. First, I want to make a setup file such that dependencies
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are only grabbed when you need the relevant pluggable behavior. This means
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if you don't need GitHub, don't download the dependencies\",\"type\":\"text\"}],\"type\":\"paragraph\"},{\"type\":\"paragraph\"},{\"type\":\"paragraph\",\"content\":[{\"text\":\"Second,
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I'd like to use py2exe to make a binary for distribution to different machines.
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This should eliminate a large number of packaging or portability concerns\",\"type\":\"text\"}]}],\"type\":\"doc\"},\"contractQuestion\":\"Which
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feature of my market manager should I prioritize?\"},{\"createdTime\":1663180935609,\"userUsername\":\"LivInTheLookingGlass\",\"contractId\":\"Dx7vPilTr1rgQQVETM2Z\",\"contractSlug\":\"which-feature-of-my-market-manager\",\"commentType\":\"contract\",\"userAvatarUrl\":\"https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2FLivInTheLookingGlass%2FP1120243.jpg?alt=media&token=7bb458ea-8b98-433b-974e-4407497b9d97\",\"id\":\"XIkew0QVl3T1vMrCkqTK\",\"commenterPositionShares\":16,\"userName\":\"Olivia\",\"content\":{\"type\":\"doc\",\"content\":[{\"content\":[{\"type\":\"text\",\"text\":\"#
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Hooks to perform actions on resolution\"}],\"type\":\"paragraph\"},{\"type\":\"paragraph\"},{\"content\":[{\"text\":\"The
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easiest example here would be submitting a GitHub comment to the relevant
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PR. I would also like to retroactively expand the scope of this to include
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on market creation, as this would allow tracked PRs to have a link automatically
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submitted to the relevant market\",\"type\":\"text\"}],\"type\":\"paragraph\"},{\"type\":\"paragraph\"},{\"type\":\"paragraph\",\"content\":[{\"text\":\"This
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would also allow for things like the creation of sequel markets in a recurring
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series\",\"type\":\"text\"}]}]},\"contractQuestion\":\"Which feature of my
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market manager should I prioritize?\",\"userId\":\"k13AzY3mu8XTju3xRZV3P8qBjEC2\",\"commenterPositionOutcome\":\"NO\"},{\"contractId\":\"Dx7vPilTr1rgQQVETM2Z\",\"content\":{\"type\":\"doc\",\"content\":[{\"type\":\"paragraph\",\"content\":[{\"text\":\"#
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Mirroring other market sites\",\"type\":\"text\"}]},{\"type\":\"paragraph\"},{\"type\":\"iframe\",\"attrs\":{\"allowfullscreen\":true,\"height\":0,\"src\":\"https://manifold.markets/embed/LivInTheLookingGlass/which-prediction-market-site-should\",\"frameborder\":0}}]},\"contractSlug\":\"which-feature-of-my-market-manager\",\"userUsername\":\"LivInTheLookingGlass\",\"commenterPositionShares\":16,\"userName\":\"Olivia\",\"userId\":\"k13AzY3mu8XTju3xRZV3P8qBjEC2\",\"createdTime\":1663180837882,\"commentType\":\"contract\",\"contractQuestion\":\"Which
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feature of my market manager should I prioritize?\",\"userAvatarUrl\":\"https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2FLivInTheLookingGlass%2FP1120243.jpg?alt=media&token=7bb458ea-8b98-433b-974e-4407497b9d97\",\"commenterPositionOutcome\":\"NO\",\"id\":\"OBTSSsW2Fiq2wEaL5Vvl\"},{\"commenterPositionShares\":16,\"userName\":\"Olivia\",\"betId\":\"BACn5yBpZ7l4qEU6FsyM\",\"id\":\"BACn5yBpZ7l4qEU6FsyM\",\"userUsername\":\"LivInTheLookingGlass\",\"content\":{\"type\":\"doc\",\"content\":[{\"content\":[{\"text\":\"Unfortunately
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I did not realize you can't comment on multiple choice answers. I'm going
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to create a thread for each of the ones I thing need explanation\",\"type\":\"text\"}],\"type\":\"paragraph\"}]},\"commentType\":\"contract\",\"contractSlug\":\"which-feature-of-my-market-manager\",\"contractId\":\"Dx7vPilTr1rgQQVETM2Z\",\"createdTime\":1663180728286,\"userId\":\"k13AzY3mu8XTju3xRZV3P8qBjEC2\",\"betOutcome\":\"2\",\"contractQuestion\":\"Which
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