ManifoldMarketManager/ManifoldMarketManager/test/fixtures/cassettes/rule/manifold/other/test_OtherMarketClosed/z8awccgKF9qEreoG6FsH.yaml

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      string: "{\"id\":\"z8awccgKF9qEreoG6FsH\",\"creatorId\":\"k13AzY3mu8XTju3xRZV3P8qBjEC2\",\"creatorUsername\":\"LivInTheLookingGlass\",\"creatorName\":\"Olivia\",\"createdTime\":1662505175369,\"creatorAvatarUrl\":\"https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2FLivInTheLookingGlass%2FP1120243.jpg?alt=media&token=7bb458ea-8b98-433b-974e-4407497b9d97\",\"closeTime\":1664423940000,\"question\":\"Will
        the Trump special master case be substantially reversed by end of year?\",\"tags\":[],\"url\":\"https://manifold.markets/LivInTheLookingGlass/will-the-trump-special-master-case\",\"pool\":{\"NO\":1650.2652964915594,\"YES\":24.39385111263929},\"probability\":0.9884078047101845,\"p\":0.5575939973657242,\"totalLiquidity\":160,\"outcomeType\":\"BINARY\",\"mechanism\":\"cpmm-1\",\"volume\":6275.337580857782,\"volume7Days\":0,\"volume24Hours\":0,\"isResolved\":true,\"resolution\":\"YES\",\"resolutionTime\":1664432192844,\"resolutionProbability\":0.9884078047101845,\"lastUpdatedTime\":1664398218328,\"comments\":[{\"userUsername\":\"jack\",\"contractId\":\"z8awccgKF9qEreoG6FsH\",\"id\":\"vAyGrGSfei2JpJhDbxb2\",\"contractQuestion\":\"Will
        the Trump special master case be substantially reversed by end of year?\",\"replyToCommentId\":\"Y1vCgyIeC9EsXEJZGIST\",\"content\":{\"content\":[{\"type\":\"paragraph\",\"content\":[{\"type\":\"text\",\"text\":\"*Not
        really a small part, but my point is that there's other stuff going on here
        that wasn't reversed. One very important part was reversed, and I agree that
        is \\\"substantial\\\".\"}]}],\"type\":\"doc\"},\"commenterPositionShares\":654,\"commentType\":\"contract\",\"commenterPositionOutcome\":\"NO\",\"commenterPositionProb\":0.9862381333247052,\"userName\":\"Jack\",\"userAvatarUrl\":\"https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2FJackC%2Fmetal-jacks-thumbnail.jpg?alt=media&token=89d230f3-05a9-4ad4-9606-5fc6e2c6b096\",\"userId\":\"YGZdZUSFQyM8j2YzPaBqki8NBz23\",\"contractSlug\":\"will-the-trump-special-master-case\",\"createdTime\":1664232299771},{\"content\":{\"type\":\"doc\",\"content\":[{\"type\":\"paragraph\",\"content\":[{\"attrs\":{\"label\":\"BTE\",\"id\":\"1Oq0eh40fApX38NuRtID\"},\"type\":\"mention\"},{\"text\":\"
        This was only one appeal about one small part. Let's say hypothetically the
        special master rules that documents XYZ are protected by privilege. DOJ certainly
        might want to appeal that. That appeal could be won or lost.\",\"type\":\"text\"}]}]},\"userAvatarUrl\":\"https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2FJackC%2Fmetal-jacks-thumbnail.jpg?alt=media&token=89d230f3-05a9-4ad4-9606-5fc6e2c6b096\",\"userName\":\"Jack\",\"contractSlug\":\"will-the-trump-special-master-case\",\"id\":\"U8x8B4XRZWv7LDrf6Zh2\",\"commenterPositionProb\":0.9862381333247052,\"replyToCommentId\":\"Y1vCgyIeC9EsXEJZGIST\",\"commenterPositionOutcome\":\"NO\",\"userUsername\":\"jack\",\"commentType\":\"contract\",\"createdTime\":1664232199731,\"contractId\":\"z8awccgKF9qEreoG6FsH\",\"userId\":\"YGZdZUSFQyM8j2YzPaBqki8NBz23\",\"contractQuestion\":\"Will
        the Trump special master case be substantially reversed by end of year?\",\"commenterPositionShares\":654},{\"replyToCommentId\":\"Y1vCgyIeC9EsXEJZGIST\",\"createdTime\":1664231555360,\"contractSlug\":\"will-the-trump-special-master-case\",\"content\":{\"content\":[{\"type\":\"paragraph\",\"content\":[{\"attrs\":{\"label\":\"jack\",\"id\":\"B3HMgrD1PvSZHru2iB9P\"},\"type\":\"mention\"},{\"text\":\"
        These are the only documents subject to criminal investigation. The DoJ appeal
        was to repair the harm to an ongoing investigation from Cannon's ruling that
        went against typical prosecutorial discretion by federal judges. Judges never
        stop investigations like Cannon did, so it was an exceptional ruling, thus
        does not need an exceptional reversal. Having all those other documents mixed
        in just bolsters the DoJ case that Trump knew what he had and hid it intentionally
        amongst innocuous looking stuff. \",\"type\":\"text\"}]},{\"type\":\"paragraph\"},{\"content\":[{\"type\":\"text\",\"text\":\"I
        don't think we are disagreeing anymore, right?\"}],\"type\":\"paragraph\"}],\"type\":\"doc\"},\"userUsername\":\"BTE\",\"contractId\":\"z8awccgKF9qEreoG6FsH\",\"userId\":\"4JuXgDx47xPagH5mcLDqLzUSN5g2\",\"commenterPositionOutcome\":\"YES\",\"contractQuestion\":\"Will
        the Trump special master case be substantially reversed by end of year?\",\"id\":\"1Oq0eh40fApX38NuRtID\",\"commentType\":\"contract\",\"userAvatarUrl\":\"https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2FBTE%2F7-M4WLXUQh.jpeg?alt=media&token=5245ad8e-bc0c-4eef-ae63-dccbd38a0908\",\"commenterPositionShares\":831,\"userName\":\"BTE\",\"commenterPositionProb\":0.9862381333247052},{\"contractSlug\":\"will-the-trump-special-master-case\",\"commenterPositionShares\":831,\"content\":{\"content\":[{\"content\":[{\"type\":\"mention\",\"attrs\":{\"label\":\"jack\",\"id\":\"BngauOvOmJiN03pMmkTk\"}},{\"text\":\"
        We aren't even talking about this question anymore. The DoJ got everything
        they asked for on appeal, so how could it possibly be it wasn't reversed?
        Wouldn't they have gone further then to get it reversed? If the DoJ isn't
        challenging it is it really a win for Trump - not likely. But again, we are
        not even talking about the special master anymore really but instead how Trump
        could be charged. The special master would have had to have found an improper
        search for Trump to be protected by him, that is totally off the table now.
        \",\"type\":\"text\"}],\"type\":\"paragraph\"}],\"type\":\"doc\"},\"commenterPositionOutcome\":\"YES\",\"commentType\":\"contract\",\"contractId\":\"z8awccgKF9qEreoG6FsH\",\"userName\":\"BTE\",\"commenterPositionProb\":0.9862381333247052,\"userUsername\":\"BTE\",\"contractQuestion\":\"Will
        the Trump special master case be substantially reversed by end of year?\",\"replyToCommentId\":\"Y1vCgyIeC9EsXEJZGIST\",\"createdTime\":1664231307304,\"userId\":\"4JuXgDx47xPagH5mcLDqLzUSN5g2\",\"userAvatarUrl\":\"https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2FBTE%2F7-M4WLXUQh.jpeg?alt=media&token=5245ad8e-bc0c-4eef-ae63-dccbd38a0908\",\"id\":\"QWNowSNLzgdvz76Iy1O0\"},{\"contractQuestion\":\"Will
        the Trump special master case be substantially reversed by end of year?\",\"commenterPositionProb\":0.9862381333247052,\"replyToCommentId\":\"Y1vCgyIeC9EsXEJZGIST\",\"contractSlug\":\"will-the-trump-special-master-case\",\"userName\":\"Jack\",\"commenterPositionShares\":654,\"content\":{\"type\":\"doc\",\"content\":[{\"content\":[{\"content\":[{\"text\":\"The
        DoJ has only claimed that they pertain to the 100 or so documents that contain
        defense information and may or may not be classified. \",\"type\":\"text\"}],\"type\":\"paragraph\"}],\"type\":\"blockquote\"},{\"type\":\"paragraph\",\"content\":[{\"type\":\"text\",\"text\":\"I
        have not seen that, do you have a link?\"}]}]},\"userUsername\":\"jack\",\"contractId\":\"z8awccgKF9qEreoG6FsH\",\"commentType\":\"contract\",\"commenterPositionOutcome\":\"NO\",\"createdTime\":1664231117368,\"userId\":\"YGZdZUSFQyM8j2YzPaBqki8NBz23\",\"userAvatarUrl\":\"https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2FJackC%2Fmetal-jacks-thumbnail.jpg?alt=media&token=89d230f3-05a9-4ad4-9606-5fc6e2c6b096\",\"id\":\"B3HMgrD1PvSZHru2iB9P\"},{\"userAvatarUrl\":\"https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2FJackC%2Fmetal-jacks-thumbnail.jpg?alt=media&token=89d230f3-05a9-4ad4-9606-5fc6e2c6b096\",\"commenterPositionOutcome\":\"NO\",\"userName\":\"Jack\",\"commentType\":\"contract\",\"userId\":\"YGZdZUSFQyM8j2YzPaBqki8NBz23\",\"commenterPositionShares\":654,\"userUsername\":\"jack\",\"contractQuestion\":\"Will
        the Trump special master case be substantially reversed by end of year?\",\"createdTime\":1664231096923,\"id\":\"BngauOvOmJiN03pMmkTk\",\"commenterPositionProb\":0.9862381333247052,\"content\":{\"type\":\"doc\",\"content\":[{\"content\":[{\"type\":\"mention\",\"attrs\":{\"id\":\"ZfU2L9Kca8wGkQGQX1qc\",\"label\":\"BTE\"}},{\"type\":\"text\",\"text\":\"
        He can be charged with violations of the Espionage Act for unclassified information.
        He can also be charged with concealing records (including unclassified ones).
        These aren't coming from the Presidential Records Act.\"}],\"type\":\"paragraph\"},{\"type\":\"paragraph\"},{\"type\":\"paragraph\",\"content\":[{\"type\":\"text\",\"text\":\"From
        \"},{\"text\":\"https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/FBI_search_of_Mar-a-Lago\",\"marks\":[{\"type\":\"link\",\"attrs\":{\"href\":\"https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/FBI_search_of_Mar-a-Lago\",\"target\":\"_blank\",\"class\":\"no-underline
        !text-indigo-700 z-10 break-anywhere hover:underline hover:decoration-indigo-400
        hover:decoration-2\"}}],\"type\":\"text\"},{\"type\":\"text\",\"text\":\".\"}]},{\"type\":\"paragraph\"},{\"type\":\"paragraph\"},{\"content\":[{\"type\":\"bulletList\",\"content\":[{\"content\":[{\"content\":[{\"text\":\"violations
        of the \",\"type\":\"text\"},{\"type\":\"text\",\"marks\":[{\"type\":\"link\",\"attrs\":{\"target\":\"_blank\",\"href\":\"https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Espionage_Act_of_1917\",\"class\":\"no-underline
        !text-indigo-700 z-10 break-anywhere hover:underline hover:decoration-indigo-400
        hover:decoration-2\"}}],\"text\":\"Espionage Act\"},{\"text\":\" regarding
        unauthorized retention of national defense information;\",\"type\":\"text\"}],\"type\":\"paragraph\"}],\"type\":\"listItem\"},{\"content\":[{\"type\":\"paragraph\",\"content\":[{\"text\":\"destroying
        or concealing records \\\"with the intent to impede \",\"type\":\"text\"},{\"text\":\"obstruct\",\"type\":\"text\",\"marks\":[{\"type\":\"link\",\"attrs\":{\"target\":\"_blank\",\"class\":\"no-underline
        !text-indigo-700 z-10 break-anywhere hover:underline hover:decoration-indigo-400
        hover:decoration-2\",\"href\":\"https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Obstruction_of_justice\"}}]},{\"type\":\"text\",\"text\":\"
        or influence\\\" federal government activity;\"}]}],\"type\":\"listItem\"},{\"content\":[{\"content\":[{\"text\":\"illegal
        removal or destruction of federal government records (without respect to cause).\",\"type\":\"text\"},{\"text\":\"[1]\",\"marks\":[{\"attrs\":{\"target\":\"_blank\",\"class\":\"no-underline
        !text-indigo-700 z-10 break-anywhere hover:underline hover:decoration-indigo-400
        hover:decoration-2\",\"href\":\"https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/FBI_search_of_Mar-a-Lago#cite_note-NYT-20220812-1\"},\"type\":\"link\"}],\"type\":\"text\"},{\"text\":\"[2]\",\"type\":\"text\",\"marks\":[{\"type\":\"link\",\"attrs\":{\"target\":\"_blank\",\"class\":\"no-underline
        !text-indigo-700 z-10 break-anywhere hover:underline hover:decoration-indigo-400
        hover:decoration-2\",\"href\":\"https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/FBI_search_of_Mar-a-Lago#cite_note-SavageDoesntMatter-2\"}}]}],\"type\":\"paragraph\"}],\"type\":\"listItem\"}]}],\"type\":\"blockquote\"},{\"type\":\"paragraph\"},{\"content\":[{\"type\":\"paragraph\",\"content\":[{\"text\":\"unclassified
        \\\"national defense information\\\" would still be covered under the Espionage
        Act\",\"type\":\"text\"}]}],\"type\":\"blockquote\"}]},\"replyToCommentId\":\"Y1vCgyIeC9EsXEJZGIST\",\"contractSlug\":\"will-the-trump-special-master-case\",\"contractId\":\"z8awccgKF9qEreoG6FsH\"},{\"contractSlug\":\"will-the-trump-special-master-case\",\"commenterPositionShares\":831,\"userUsername\":\"BTE\",\"userName\":\"BTE\",\"replyToCommentId\":\"Y1vCgyIeC9EsXEJZGIST\",\"contractQuestion\":\"Will
        the Trump special master case be substantially reversed by end of year?\",\"id\":\"F2F8VNen3DiH5P4LHVoS\",\"createdTime\":1664231010008,\"commenterPositionOutcome\":\"YES\",\"contractId\":\"z8awccgKF9qEreoG6FsH\",\"commentType\":\"contract\",\"userId\":\"4JuXgDx47xPagH5mcLDqLzUSN5g2\",\"content\":{\"type\":\"doc\",\"content\":[{\"type\":\"paragraph\",\"content\":[{\"attrs\":{\"id\":\"agUgB8zgUyG3jRNd6qD8\",\"label\":\"jack\"},\"type\":\"mention\"},{\"type\":\"text\",\"text\":\"
        So I disagree that the three charges pertain to potentially all of the documents.
        The DoJ has only claimed that they pertain to the 100 or so documents that
        contain defense information and may or may not be classified. Remember, Trump
        claims on TV he declassified them via osmosis. Dearie has told Trump's lawyers
        they must address those claims as well as claims of planted documents by next
        week or those defenses are excluded permanently. That is why Trump's lawyers
        are trying so hard not to assert those things yet. \"}]}]},\"commenterPositionProb\":0.9862381333247052,\"userAvatarUrl\":\"https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2FBTE%2F7-M4WLXUQh.jpeg?alt=media&token=5245ad8e-bc0c-4eef-ae63-dccbd38a0908\"},{\"commentType\":\"contract\",\"id\":\"ZfU2L9Kca8wGkQGQX1qc\",\"replyToCommentId\":\"Y1vCgyIeC9EsXEJZGIST\",\"contractQuestion\":\"Will
        the Trump special master case be substantially reversed by end of year?\",\"contractId\":\"z8awccgKF9qEreoG6FsH\",\"contractSlug\":\"will-the-trump-special-master-case\",\"commenterPositionProb\":0.9862381333247052,\"commenterPositionShares\":831,\"content\":{\"content\":[{\"type\":\"paragraph\",\"content\":[{\"type\":\"mention\",\"attrs\":{\"id\":\"uCuqlZdsMaRif9pPemuz\",\"label\":\"jack\"}},{\"text\":\"
        You are saying the special master can protect trump somehow still? He is just
        reviewing documents subject to the Presidential Records Act now, which is
        a law with no enforcement mechanism. The only documents Trump can get charged
        with the three crimes cited in the warrant must contain defense information,
        and need not be classified as you said. But the records the government is
        not contesting to be classified are actually a paperwork issue because the
        presidential records act can't be used to charge him. Only the Espionage Act.
        \",\"type\":\"text\"}]}],\"type\":\"doc\"},\"userUsername\":\"BTE\",\"userName\":\"BTE\",\"commenterPositionOutcome\":\"YES\",\"createdTime\":1664230805357,\"userId\":\"4JuXgDx47xPagH5mcLDqLzUSN5g2\",\"userAvatarUrl\":\"https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2FBTE%2F7-M4WLXUQh.jpeg?alt=media&token=5245ad8e-bc0c-4eef-ae63-dccbd38a0908\"},{\"commenterPositionProb\":0.9862381333247052,\"commenterPositionShares\":654,\"commenterPositionOutcome\":\"NO\",\"replyToCommentId\":\"Y1vCgyIeC9EsXEJZGIST\",\"contractSlug\":\"will-the-trump-special-master-case\",\"id\":\"agUgB8zgUyG3jRNd6qD8\",\"content\":{\"content\":[{\"type\":\"paragraph\",\"content\":[{\"attrs\":{\"label\":\"BTE\",\"id\":\"YX5hR4VeZLr29cWbktth\"},\"type\":\"mention\"},{\"type\":\"text\",\"text\":\"
        The special master can still (hypothetically) protect Trump from possessing
        documents he shouldn't have. Note that the charges were about all the documents,
        the charges didn't even require the documents be classified.\"}]}],\"type\":\"doc\"},\"contractId\":\"z8awccgKF9qEreoG6FsH\",\"userId\":\"YGZdZUSFQyM8j2YzPaBqki8NBz23\",\"contractQuestion\":\"Will
        the Trump special master case be substantially reversed by end of year?\",\"userUsername\":\"jack\",\"userName\":\"Jack\",\"commentType\":\"contract\",\"createdTime\":1664230695893,\"userAvatarUrl\":\"https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2FJackC%2Fmetal-jacks-thumbnail.jpg?alt=media&token=89d230f3-05a9-4ad4-9606-5fc6e2c6b096\"},{\"contractSlug\":\"will-the-trump-special-master-case\",\"content\":{\"content\":[{\"type\":\"paragraph\",\"content\":[{\"type\":\"text\",\"text\":\"Do
        what?\"}]}],\"type\":\"doc\"},\"createdTime\":1664230643020,\"userId\":\"4JuXgDx47xPagH5mcLDqLzUSN5g2\",\"userAvatarUrl\":\"https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2FBTE%2F7-M4WLXUQh.jpeg?alt=media&token=5245ad8e-bc0c-4eef-ae63-dccbd38a0908\",\"commenterPositionOutcome\":\"YES\",\"commenterPositionProb\":0.9862381333247052,\"commenterPositionShares\":831,\"replyToCommentId\":\"Y1vCgyIeC9EsXEJZGIST\",\"commentType\":\"contract\",\"id\":\"YX5hR4VeZLr29cWbktth\",\"userName\":\"BTE\",\"userUsername\":\"BTE\",\"contractId\":\"z8awccgKF9qEreoG6FsH\",\"contractQuestion\":\"Will
        the Trump special master case be substantially reversed by end of year?\"},{\"contractQuestion\":\"Will
        the Trump special master case be substantially reversed by end of year?\",\"userName\":\"Jack\",\"id\":\"uCuqlZdsMaRif9pPemuz\",\"userUsername\":\"jack\",\"userAvatarUrl\":\"https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2FJackC%2Fmetal-jacks-thumbnail.jpg?alt=media&token=89d230f3-05a9-4ad4-9606-5fc6e2c6b096\",\"commenterPositionOutcome\":\"NO\",\"userId\":\"YGZdZUSFQyM8j2YzPaBqki8NBz23\",\"content\":{\"type\":\"doc\",\"content\":[{\"content\":[{\"attrs\":{\"id\":\"uNpua8wuw9G3c9JOJM0i\",\"label\":\"BTE\"},\"type\":\"mention\"},{\"text\":\"
        The special master can still do that! And that's my whole point!\",\"type\":\"text\"}],\"type\":\"paragraph\"}]},\"commentType\":\"contract\",\"contractId\":\"z8awccgKF9qEreoG6FsH\",\"commenterPositionShares\":654,\"replyToCommentId\":\"Y1vCgyIeC9EsXEJZGIST\",\"commenterPositionProb\":0.9862381333247052,\"contractSlug\":\"will-the-trump-special-master-case\",\"createdTime\":1664230622558},{\"content\":{\"content\":[{\"content\":[{\"attrs\":{\"id\":\"FEn6lc9ihxlOUEuE5KSw\",\"label\":\"jack\"},\"type\":\"mention\"},{\"type\":\"text\",\"text\":\"
        What is the significance of the special master at all if he can't ultimately
        protect Trump from being prosecuted for possessing something he shouldn't.
        Trump was trying to use this to assert he was entitled to have the classified
        documents, everything else was just noise. That has been completely rejected
        so we are arguing over semantics. The substance is clear IMO.\"}],\"type\":\"paragraph\"}],\"type\":\"doc\"},\"userId\":\"4JuXgDx47xPagH5mcLDqLzUSN5g2\",\"commenterPositionProb\":0.9862381333247052,\"createdTime\":1664230605603,\"userUsername\":\"BTE\",\"replyToCommentId\":\"Y1vCgyIeC9EsXEJZGIST\",\"userAvatarUrl\":\"https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2FBTE%2F7-M4WLXUQh.jpeg?alt=media&token=5245ad8e-bc0c-4eef-ae63-dccbd38a0908\",\"userName\":\"BTE\",\"commenterPositionOutcome\":\"YES\",\"contractId\":\"z8awccgKF9qEreoG6FsH\",\"contractQuestion\":\"Will
        the Trump special master case be substantially reversed by end of year?\",\"commenterPositionShares\":831,\"id\":\"uNpua8wuw9G3c9JOJM0i\",\"commentType\":\"contract\",\"contractSlug\":\"will-the-trump-special-master-case\"},{\"userAvatarUrl\":\"https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2FJackC%2Fmetal-jacks-thumbnail.jpg?alt=media&token=89d230f3-05a9-4ad4-9606-5fc6e2c6b096\",\"userName\":\"Jack\",\"userId\":\"YGZdZUSFQyM8j2YzPaBqki8NBz23\",\"contractId\":\"z8awccgKF9qEreoG6FsH\",\"content\":{\"content\":[{\"type\":\"paragraph\",\"content\":[{\"type\":\"text\",\"text\":\"The
        special master is still reviewing the documents, except for the 100 classified
        documents. Certainly the 100 classified documents were the most urgent for
        the DOJ, but it's not clear to me that they were the most imoprtant for Trump's
        legal strategy (they might be, or it might be that they just wanted to get
        as many documents considered privileged as possible, or that they just wanted
        to stall the process in general).\"}]}],\"type\":\"doc\"},\"contractQuestion\":\"Will
        the Trump special master case be substantially reversed by end of year?\",\"createdTime\":1664230588026,\"replyToCommentId\":\"Y1vCgyIeC9EsXEJZGIST\",\"commenterPositionProb\":0.9862381333247052,\"id\":\"NDbuXmax6rCGuZBXwU6G\",\"userUsername\":\"jack\",\"commentType\":\"contract\",\"commenterPositionShares\":654,\"commenterPositionOutcome\":\"NO\",\"contractSlug\":\"will-the-trump-special-master-case\"},{\"commenterPositionOutcome\":\"YES\",\"commenterPositionShares\":831,\"userName\":\"BTE\",\"contractQuestion\":\"Will
        the Trump special master case be substantially reversed by end of year?\",\"createdTime\":1664230504619,\"userAvatarUrl\":\"https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2FBTE%2F7-M4WLXUQh.jpeg?alt=media&token=5245ad8e-bc0c-4eef-ae63-dccbd38a0908\",\"replyToCommentId\":\"Y1vCgyIeC9EsXEJZGIST\",\"contractSlug\":\"will-the-trump-special-master-case\",\"userId\":\"4JuXgDx47xPagH5mcLDqLzUSN5g2\",\"content\":{\"type\":\"doc\",\"content\":[{\"content\":[{\"type\":\"mention\",\"attrs\":{\"label\":\"jack\",\"id\":\"oaWfCEIRLApKBapQwokp\"}},{\"type\":\"text\",\"text\":\"
        I guess MKT is acceptable resolution since we are just going to continue splitting
        hairs. \"}],\"type\":\"paragraph\"}]},\"commenterPositionProb\":0.9862381333247052,\"userUsername\":\"BTE\",\"id\":\"h9M9FT2yyoMpCoPDxgaq\",\"contractId\":\"z8awccgKF9qEreoG6FsH\",\"commentType\":\"contract\"},{\"userName\":\"Jack\",\"id\":\"FEn6lc9ihxlOUEuE5KSw\",\"commenterPositionOutcome\":\"NO\",\"userUsername\":\"jack\",\"createdTime\":1664230502368,\"userAvatarUrl\":\"https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2FJackC%2Fmetal-jacks-thumbnail.jpg?alt=media&token=89d230f3-05a9-4ad4-9606-5fc6e2c6b096\",\"contractQuestion\":\"Will
        the Trump special master case be substantially reversed by end of year?\",\"contractSlug\":\"will-the-trump-special-master-case\",\"commenterPositionShares\":654,\"content\":{\"content\":[{\"content\":[{\"text\":\"I'm
        very confused and do not follow this logic at all. He can't show harm \",\"type\":\"text\"},{\"marks\":[{\"type\":\"italic\"}],\"text\":\"about
        the stay\",\"type\":\"text\"},{\"text\":\" is different from he can't show
        harm \",\"type\":\"text\"},{\"marks\":[{\"type\":\"italic\"}],\"text\":\"about
        the documents in general\",\"type\":\"text\"},{\"text\":\" - note that the
        special master is still reviewing the unclassified documents.\",\"type\":\"text\"}],\"type\":\"paragraph\"}],\"type\":\"doc\"},\"commenterPositionProb\":0.9862381333247052,\"replyToCommentId\":\"Y1vCgyIeC9EsXEJZGIST\",\"commentType\":\"contract\",\"userId\":\"YGZdZUSFQyM8j2YzPaBqki8NBz23\",\"contractId\":\"z8awccgKF9qEreoG6FsH\"},{\"commenterPositionOutcome\":\"YES\",\"userAvatarUrl\":\"https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2FBTE%2F7-M4WLXUQh.jpeg?alt=media&token=5245ad8e-bc0c-4eef-ae63-dccbd38a0908\",\"userId\":\"4JuXgDx47xPagH5mcLDqLzUSN5g2\",\"userUsername\":\"BTE\",\"replyToCommentId\":\"Y1vCgyIeC9EsXEJZGIST\",\"contractId\":\"z8awccgKF9qEreoG6FsH\",\"content\":{\"content\":[{\"type\":\"paragraph\",\"content\":[{\"type\":\"mention\",\"attrs\":{\"label\":\"jack\",\"id\":\"oaWfCEIRLApKBapQwokp\"}},{\"text\":\"
        That was the reason for the special master in the first place, to ensure Trump
        didn't suffer irreparable harm. Typically only attorneys get the privilege
        of a special master, so this was already unusual. The potential outcomes of
        this now are just one, review of documents for attorney client privilege.
        \",\"type\":\"text\"}]}],\"type\":\"doc\"},\"createdTime\":1664230400788,\"id\":\"jT493NgpsUowdWOC5qhN\",\"commentType\":\"contract\",\"commenterPositionShares\":831,\"commenterPositionProb\":0.9862381333247052,\"userName\":\"BTE\",\"contractSlug\":\"will-the-trump-special-master-case\",\"contractQuestion\":\"Will
        the Trump special master case be substantially reversed by end of year?\"},{\"contractSlug\":\"will-the-trump-special-master-case\",\"userUsername\":\"BTE\",\"commenterPositionShares\":831,\"userName\":\"BTE\",\"content\":{\"type\":\"doc\",\"content\":[{\"type\":\"paragraph\",\"content\":[{\"type\":\"mention\",\"attrs\":{\"id\":\"w14HjEKq9Q8ugHTJE9oi\",\"label\":\"jack\"}},{\"type\":\"text\",\"text\":\"
        That bit about Trump no longer being able to show irreparable harm is what
        I am referring to. Changes the significance of the entire situation.\"}]}]},\"contractId\":\"z8awccgKF9qEreoG6FsH\",\"userAvatarUrl\":\"https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2FBTE%2F7-M4WLXUQh.jpeg?alt=media&token=5245ad8e-bc0c-4eef-ae63-dccbd38a0908\",\"commenterPositionProb\":0.9862381333247052,\"createdTime\":1664230319065,\"contractQuestion\":\"Will
        the Trump special master case be substantially reversed by end of year?\",\"id\":\"l8CqbkP4MYnBGLIGOxGo\",\"userId\":\"4JuXgDx47xPagH5mcLDqLzUSN5g2\",\"commentType\":\"contract\",\"commenterPositionOutcome\":\"YES\",\"replyToCommentId\":\"Y1vCgyIeC9EsXEJZGIST\"},{\"commenterPositionProb\":0.9862381333247052,\"userUsername\":\"jack\",\"userId\":\"YGZdZUSFQyM8j2YzPaBqki8NBz23\",\"commentType\":\"contract\",\"contractId\":\"z8awccgKF9qEreoG6FsH\",\"contractSlug\":\"will-the-trump-special-master-case\",\"commenterPositionShares\":654,\"contractQuestion\":\"Will
        the Trump special master case be substantially reversed by end of year?\",\"createdTime\":1664230286206,\"content\":{\"type\":\"doc\",\"content\":[{\"type\":\"paragraph\",\"content\":[{\"text\":\"What
        no. I feel like we're talking past each other. If the stay can't be appealed,
        that just means the stay remains in place. Which doesn't tell us any new information.
        The whole discussion here is whether the stay is sufficient to count as substantially
        reversed.\",\"type\":\"text\"}]}]},\"userName\":\"Jack\",\"replyToCommentId\":\"Y1vCgyIeC9EsXEJZGIST\",\"id\":\"oaWfCEIRLApKBapQwokp\",\"commenterPositionOutcome\":\"NO\",\"userAvatarUrl\":\"https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2FJackC%2Fmetal-jacks-thumbnail.jpg?alt=media&token=89d230f3-05a9-4ad4-9606-5fc6e2c6b096\"},{\"userAvatarUrl\":\"https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2FBTE%2F7-M4WLXUQh.jpeg?alt=media&token=5245ad8e-bc0c-4eef-ae63-dccbd38a0908\",\"commentType\":\"contract\",\"commenterPositionOutcome\":\"YES\",\"replyToCommentId\":\"Y1vCgyIeC9EsXEJZGIST\",\"contractId\":\"z8awccgKF9qEreoG6FsH\",\"content\":{\"type\":\"doc\",\"content\":[{\"content\":[{\"attrs\":{\"id\":\"w14HjEKq9Q8ugHTJE9oi\",\"label\":\"jack\"},\"type\":\"mention\"},{\"text\":\"
        \",\"type\":\"text\"}],\"type\":\"paragraph\"},{\"attrs\":{\"tweetId\":\"t1573073074722951169\"},\"type\":\"tiptapTweet\"}]},\"userName\":\"BTE\",\"commenterPositionShares\":831,\"contractSlug\":\"will-the-trump-special-master-case\",\"commenterPositionProb\":0.9862381333247052,\"userId\":\"4JuXgDx47xPagH5mcLDqLzUSN5g2\",\"createdTime\":1664230275457,\"userUsername\":\"BTE\",\"contractQuestion\":\"Will
        the Trump special master case be substantially reversed by end of year?\",\"id\":\"dMpfeqtFW5C2r4Mn7NMG\"},{\"commenterPositionShares\":831,\"id\":\"xuAOoom7OwtcxQX6jNoJ\",\"userAvatarUrl\":\"https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2FBTE%2F7-M4WLXUQh.jpeg?alt=media&token=5245ad8e-bc0c-4eef-ae63-dccbd38a0908\",\"content\":{\"type\":\"doc\",\"content\":[{\"content\":[{\"attrs\":{\"label\":\"jack\",\"id\":\"w14HjEKq9Q8ugHTJE9oi\"},\"type\":\"mention\"},{\"type\":\"text\",\"text\":\"
        I think effectively unappealable meets the standard for \\\"substantially
        reversed\\\".\"}],\"type\":\"paragraph\"}]},\"createdTime\":1664230157825,\"userName\":\"BTE\",\"commenterPositionOutcome\":\"YES\",\"userId\":\"4JuXgDx47xPagH5mcLDqLzUSN5g2\",\"contractQuestion\":\"Will
        the Trump special master case be substantially reversed by end of year?\",\"replyToCommentId\":\"Y1vCgyIeC9EsXEJZGIST\",\"commentType\":\"contract\",\"contractId\":\"z8awccgKF9qEreoG6FsH\",\"contractSlug\":\"will-the-trump-special-master-case\",\"commenterPositionProb\":0.9862381333247052,\"userUsername\":\"BTE\"},{\"replyToCommentId\":\"Y1vCgyIeC9EsXEJZGIST\",\"contractId\":\"z8awccgKF9qEreoG6FsH\",\"commenterPositionShares\":831,\"contractSlug\":\"will-the-trump-special-master-case\",\"userId\":\"4JuXgDx47xPagH5mcLDqLzUSN5g2\",\"userName\":\"BTE\",\"commenterPositionProb\":0.9862381333247052,\"commentType\":\"contract\",\"createdTime\":1664230060274,\"contractQuestion\":\"Will
        the Trump special master case be substantially reversed by end of year?\",\"content\":{\"content\":[{\"content\":[{\"type\":\"mention\",\"attrs\":{\"label\":\"jack\",\"id\":\"w14HjEKq9Q8ugHTJE9oi\"}},{\"type\":\"text\",\"text\":\"
        \"}],\"type\":\"paragraph\"},{\"attrs\":{\"tweetId\":\"t1573116315304329216\"},\"type\":\"tiptapTweet\"}],\"type\":\"doc\"},\"commenterPositionOutcome\":\"YES\",\"userAvatarUrl\":\"https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2FBTE%2F7-M4WLXUQh.jpeg?alt=media&token=5245ad8e-bc0c-4eef-ae63-dccbd38a0908\",\"id\":\"V503fkpR6cWJclild92c\",\"userUsername\":\"BTE\"},{\"userName\":\"Jack\",\"userAvatarUrl\":\"https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2FJackC%2Fmetal-jacks-thumbnail.jpg?alt=media&token=89d230f3-05a9-4ad4-9606-5fc6e2c6b096\",\"createdTime\":1664229856648,\"id\":\"w14HjEKq9Q8ugHTJE9oi\",\"commenterPositionProb\":0.9862381333247052,\"content\":{\"content\":[{\"content\":[{\"type\":\"mention\",\"attrs\":{\"label\":\"BTE\",\"id\":\"auuX5PdHE63wr2PIgObt\"}},{\"text\":\"
        I'm not seeing that in the stay or Cannon's update? \",\"type\":\"text\"},{\"type\":\"text\",\"marks\":[{\"attrs\":{\"class\":\"no-underline
        !text-indigo-700 z-10 break-anywhere hover:underline hover:decoration-indigo-400
        hover:decoration-2\",\"href\":\"https://www.lawfareblog.com/cannon-strikes-two-provisions-special-master-order-response-eleventh-circuit-ruling\",\"target\":\"_blank\"},\"type\":\"link\"}],\"text\":\"https://www.lawfareblog.com/cannon-strikes-two-provisions-special-master-order-response-eleventh-circuit-ruling\"},{\"type\":\"text\",\"text\":\"
        says it removed the part about classified documents, and also struck \\\"Paragraph
        6, which requires the Special Master to submit interim reports and recommendations
        to the court throughout their review\\\". Nothing about executive privilege
        that I see there yet.\"}],\"type\":\"paragraph\"},{\"type\":\"paragraph\"},{\"type\":\"paragraph\",\"content\":[{\"type\":\"text\",\"text\":\"It
        looks like the order is still for the special master to review for attorney-client
        privilege and executive privilege.\"}]}],\"type\":\"doc\"},\"commenterPositionOutcome\":\"NO\",\"contractId\":\"z8awccgKF9qEreoG6FsH\",\"replyToCommentId\":\"Y1vCgyIeC9EsXEJZGIST\",\"contractSlug\":\"will-the-trump-special-master-case\",\"userUsername\":\"jack\",\"commentType\":\"contract\",\"commenterPositionShares\":654,\"userId\":\"YGZdZUSFQyM8j2YzPaBqki8NBz23\",\"contractQuestion\":\"Will
        the Trump special master case be substantially reversed by end of year?\"},{\"id\":\"jvcclosHtTrF2Tf0HQev\",\"contractId\":\"z8awccgKF9qEreoG6FsH\",\"commentType\":\"contract\",\"content\":{\"content\":[{\"content\":[{\"type\":\"mention\",\"attrs\":{\"label\":\"jack\",\"id\":\"DGgg2oLYm35ErbquWjT6\"}},{\"type\":\"text\",\"text\":\"
        First the Special Master told Trump's lawyers he couldn't understand how executive
        privilege applied and then the appeals court basically let Cannon save some
        face and she took them up on it. She realized Trump was only going to drag
        her down. \"}],\"type\":\"paragraph\"},{\"type\":\"paragraph\"},{\"content\":[{\"type\":\"text\",\"text\":\"What
        is becoming very apparent is the judges are starting to get really pissed
        at Trump's lawyers because they won't answer for the things Trump is saying
        on TV since they aren't going to commit perjury. This is getting out of hand
        before it even really gets started. I am starting to think Trump is going
        to be held without bail or completely gagged when he is charged because a
        judge isn't gonna just sit back and take personal threats when they have the
        power to literally silence anyone on all channels through force of court order.
        He needs to shut up or he won't even get the fight he seems to be itching
        for. \"}],\"type\":\"paragraph\"}],\"type\":\"doc\"},\"commenterPositionProb\":0.9862381333247052,\"userName\":\"BTE\",\"contractSlug\":\"will-the-trump-special-master-case\",\"commenterPositionOutcome\":\"YES\",\"userUsername\":\"BTE\",\"createdTime\":1664229615681,\"userAvatarUrl\":\"https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2FBTE%2F7-M4WLXUQh.jpeg?alt=media&token=5245ad8e-bc0c-4eef-ae63-dccbd38a0908\",\"userId\":\"4JuXgDx47xPagH5mcLDqLzUSN5g2\",\"commenterPositionShares\":831,\"contractQuestion\":\"Will
        the Trump special master case be substantially reversed by end of year?\",\"replyToCommentId\":\"Y1vCgyIeC9EsXEJZGIST\"},{\"contractQuestion\":\"Will
        the Trump special master case be substantially reversed by end of year?\",\"contractSlug\":\"will-the-trump-special-master-case\",\"userName\":\"BTE\",\"userAvatarUrl\":\"https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2FBTE%2F7-M4WLXUQh.jpeg?alt=media&token=5245ad8e-bc0c-4eef-ae63-dccbd38a0908\",\"createdTime\":1664229300190,\"commenterPositionShares\":831,\"commentType\":\"contract\",\"commenterPositionOutcome\":\"YES\",\"id\":\"auuX5PdHE63wr2PIgObt\",\"userUsername\":\"BTE\",\"replyToCommentId\":\"Y1vCgyIeC9EsXEJZGIST\",\"commenterPositionProb\":0.9862381333247052,\"userId\":\"4JuXgDx47xPagH5mcLDqLzUSN5g2\",\"content\":{\"type\":\"doc\",\"content\":[{\"type\":\"paragraph\",\"content\":[{\"attrs\":{\"label\":\"jack\",\"id\":\"DGgg2oLYm35ErbquWjT6\"},\"type\":\"mention\"},{\"type\":\"text\",\"text\":\"
        The important point here is that Cannon radically altered her original order
        such that not only does it change substantively, it eliminated the possibility
        Trump can appeal again to the supreme court because she has said he cannot
        show he could be harmed in his capacity as former Executive in any way by
        the continuing of the criminal investigation.\"}]}]},\"contractId\":\"z8awccgKF9qEreoG6FsH\"},{\"commenterPositionOutcome\":\"YES\",\"commenterPositionShares\":831,\"contractQuestion\":\"Will
        the Trump special master case be substantially reversed by end of year?\",\"commenterPositionProb\":0.9862381333247052,\"userAvatarUrl\":\"https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2FBTE%2F7-M4WLXUQh.jpeg?alt=media&token=5245ad8e-bc0c-4eef-ae63-dccbd38a0908\",\"contractId\":\"z8awccgKF9qEreoG6FsH\",\"userId\":\"4JuXgDx47xPagH5mcLDqLzUSN5g2\",\"createdTime\":1664229199633,\"content\":{\"content\":[{\"content\":[{\"attrs\":{\"label\":\"jack\",\"id\":\"DGgg2oLYm35ErbquWjT6\"},\"type\":\"mention\"},{\"type\":\"text\",\"text\":\"
        Yes, it has been completely struck from the order by Judge Cannon. And it
        was laughed out of court at the 11th circuit by 2/3 judges appointed by Trump.
        They literally made fun of him in their opinion, like 'why is this asshole
        wasting everybody's time??'\"}],\"type\":\"paragraph\"}],\"type\":\"doc\"},\"commentType\":\"contract\",\"userName\":\"BTE\",\"id\":\"golzLaPRo3y9iFLRDhSV\",\"contractSlug\":\"will-the-trump-special-master-case\",\"replyToCommentId\":\"Y1vCgyIeC9EsXEJZGIST\",\"userUsername\":\"BTE\"},{\"contractId\":\"z8awccgKF9qEreoG6FsH\",\"betOutcome\":\"NO\",\"contractQuestion\":\"Will
        the Trump special master case be substantially reversed by end of year?\",\"createdTime\":1664229065434,\"replyToCommentId\":\"Y1vCgyIeC9EsXEJZGIST\",\"betId\":\"4tuYYtd48xVv644fFiLh\",\"userName\":\"Jack\",\"betAmount\":-42.854453238099914,\"userId\":\"YGZdZUSFQyM8j2YzPaBqki8NBz23\",\"commentType\":\"contract\",\"content\":{\"content\":[{\"type\":\"paragraph\",\"content\":[{\"type\":\"mention\",\"attrs\":{\"label\":\"LivInTheLookingGlass\",\"id\":\"Y1vCgyIeC9EsXEJZGIST\"}},{\"text\":\"
        I think YES or a high percentage is the correct resolution, and I don't think
        I have a good answer as to which is better (I'm also biased).\",\"type\":\"text\"}]},{\"type\":\"paragraph\"},{\"type\":\"paragraph\",\"content\":[{\"type\":\"text\",\"text\":\"One
        thought: was there any change to the part about executive privilege review?
        (I didn't see any change mentioned in the news.) That was another controversial
        part that was less immediately problematic but could have had more interesting
        long-term effects.\"}]}],\"type\":\"doc\"},\"commenterPositionShares\":654,\"commenterPositionProb\":0.9862381333247052,\"commenterPositionOutcome\":\"NO\",\"id\":\"DGgg2oLYm35ErbquWjT6\",\"contractSlug\":\"will-the-trump-special-master-case\",\"userAvatarUrl\":\"https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2FJackC%2Fmetal-jacks-thumbnail.jpg?alt=media&token=89d230f3-05a9-4ad4-9606-5fc6e2c6b096\",\"userUsername\":\"jack\"},{\"userId\":\"k13AzY3mu8XTju3xRZV3P8qBjEC2\",\"commenterPositionShares\":82,\"id\":\"Y1vCgyIeC9EsXEJZGIST\",\"commentType\":\"contract\",\"createdTime\":1664221499323,\"userAvatarUrl\":\"https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2FLivInTheLookingGlass%2FP1120243.jpg?alt=media&token=7bb458ea-8b98-433b-974e-4407497b9d97\",\"commenterPositionProb\":0.8392072764378155,\"contractId\":\"z8awccgKF9qEreoG6FsH\",\"userUsername\":\"LivInTheLookingGlass\",\"commenterPositionOutcome\":\"YES\",\"contractQuestion\":\"Will
        the Trump special master case be substantially reversed by end of year?\",\"userName\":\"Olivia\",\"contractSlug\":\"will-the-trump-special-master-case\",\"content\":{\"content\":[{\"type\":\"paragraph\",\"content\":[{\"text\":\"Okay,
        going off of BTE's article, the part that seems most relevant to this question
        is this: \",\"type\":\"text\"}]},{\"content\":[{\"content\":[{\"text\":\"Cannon
        on Thursday issued a revised order stating that the special master in the
        case would review all documents \\\"except the approximately one-hundred documents
        bearing classification markings.\\\" She also struck two portions from her
        original order preventing the DOJ from probing the classified documents during
        the special master review and requiring them to disclose the materials to
        the special master\",\"type\":\"text\"}],\"type\":\"paragraph\"}],\"type\":\"blockquote\"},{\"content\":[{\"text\":\"The
        most egregious part of the order by far was the inability for DOJ to review
        the documents marked as classified. In addition, I believe that, absent this
        amendment, the 11th Circuit would have made a stronger reversal\",\"type\":\"text\"}],\"type\":\"paragraph\"},{\"type\":\"blockquote\",\"content\":[{\"content\":[{\"type\":\"text\",\"text\":\"The
        three-judge panel \u2014 which included two Trump appointees \u2014 said Cannon,
        a fellow Trump-appointee, \\\"abused\\\" her discretion by barring the DOJ
        from continuing to investigate the classified documents seized from Trump's
        Mar-a-Lago residence and allowed investigators to resume their probe.\"}],\"type\":\"paragraph\"}]},{\"type\":\"paragraph\",\"content\":[{\"text\":\"Given
        all of this, I can see no reason to resolve lower than 75%. I would like to
        use this comment as an opportunity for any to voice an objection to this being
        resolved YES. If there is one that I think is reasonable, and I haven't resolved
        the market yet, I will not do so. Otherwise I will wait >= 24 hours, then
        resolve YES\",\"type\":\"text\"}]}],\"type\":\"doc\"}},{\"commenterPositionOutcome\":\"YES\",\"createdTime\":1664114264732,\"contractQuestion\":\"Will
        the Trump special master case be substantially reversed by end of year?\",\"userUsername\":\"BTE\",\"userName\":\"BTE\",\"commentType\":\"contract\",\"id\":\"d3mjOrkgpvr4os7EgJGS\",\"commenterPositionProb\":0.85,\"contractId\":\"z8awccgKF9qEreoG6FsH\",\"userId\":\"4JuXgDx47xPagH5mcLDqLzUSN5g2\",\"userAvatarUrl\":\"https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2FBTE%2F7-M4WLXUQh.jpeg?alt=media&token=5245ad8e-bc0c-4eef-ae63-dccbd38a0908\",\"content\":{\"content\":[{\"content\":[{\"type\":\"text\",\"text\":\"Just
        to clarify my take, the combination of the 11th circuit reversal and the original
        judge changing parts of her order to effectively eliminate Trump's chances
        to appeal make this a very substantial reversal. All of the \\\"wins\\\" Trump
        supposedly got from Judge Cannon are gone. I would call that substantial.\"}],\"type\":\"paragraph\"}],\"type\":\"doc\"},\"contractSlug\":\"will-the-trump-special-master-case\",\"commenterPositionShares\":831},{\"userUsername\":\"BTE\",\"betId\":\"kignoPm6Ocr0x6VKwyqA\",\"commenterPositionOutcome\":\"YES\",\"commenterPositionShares\":831,\"userId\":\"4JuXgDx47xPagH5mcLDqLzUSN5g2\",\"betAmount\":100,\"commenterPositionProb\":0.85,\"createdTime\":1664114136702,\"contractQuestion\":\"Will
        the Trump special master case be substantially reversed by end of year?\",\"contractSlug\":\"will-the-trump-special-master-case\",\"betOutcome\":\"YES\",\"commentType\":\"contract\",\"userAvatarUrl\":\"https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2FBTE%2F7-M4WLXUQh.jpeg?alt=media&token=5245ad8e-bc0c-4eef-ae63-dccbd38a0908\",\"content\":{\"content\":[{\"content\":[{\"type\":\"mention\",\"attrs\":{\"label\":\"MichaelWheatley\",\"id\":\"f2KICwind6vuEAKsH3dg\"}},{\"type\":\"text\",\"text\":\"
        LOL. \"}],\"type\":\"paragraph\"}],\"type\":\"doc\"},\"id\":\"FAAkfvTKAY2uKhe8TBEN\",\"userName\":\"BTE\",\"replyToCommentId\":\"f2KICwind6vuEAKsH3dg\",\"contractId\":\"z8awccgKF9qEreoG6FsH\"},{\"content\":{\"type\":\"doc\",\"content\":[{\"content\":[{\"attrs\":{\"id\":\"LIpBKoTrS0LxfQ7Bd6U9\",\"label\":\"jack\"},\"type\":\"mention\"},{\"text\":\"
        I think the hold was pretty \\\"substantial\\\", even if not total, so I'd
        expect this to resolve yes or at a high percent.\",\"type\":\"text\"}],\"type\":\"paragraph\"}]},\"commenterPositionProb\":0.8013394952142384,\"commentType\":\"contract\",\"commenterPositionShares\":1748,\"userUsername\":\"MartinRandall\",\"contractQuestion\":\"Will
        the Trump special master case be substantially reversed by end of year?\",\"userAvatarUrl\":\"https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AOh14Gi4DoekN-bxocogrQc7Q8l6w7dDxSF_A5TEq7A6JQ=s96-c\",\"createdTime\":1664110305138,\"betAmount\":-100.26344065781174,\"betId\":\"jeIV2yjwUkDAuFrXQ97S\",\"contractSlug\":\"will-the-trump-special-master-case\",\"id\":\"vKjsfd6lcwORTI6g97JC\",\"contractId\":\"z8awccgKF9qEreoG6FsH\",\"betOutcome\":\"YES\",\"userId\":\"sA7V30Ic73XZtniboy2eKr6ekkn1\",\"userName\":\"Martin
        Randall\",\"replyToCommentId\":\"obcV5KzTiw7ayHJQOqYo\",\"commenterPositionOutcome\":\"YES\"},{\"id\":\"YIKZaZBF1cWC8aQmT5De\",\"contractSlug\":\"will-the-trump-special-master-case\",\"commenterPositionOutcome\":\"YES\",\"contractQuestion\":\"Will
        the Trump special master case be substantially reversed by end of year?\",\"userId\":\"4JuXgDx47xPagH5mcLDqLzUSN5g2\",\"replyToCommentId\":\"obcV5KzTiw7ayHJQOqYo\",\"commenterPositionShares\":712,\"commenterPositionProb\":0.8518675434158606,\"commentType\":\"contract\",\"contractId\":\"z8awccgKF9qEreoG6FsH\",\"userAvatarUrl\":\"https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2FBTE%2F7-M4WLXUQh.jpeg?alt=media&token=5245ad8e-bc0c-4eef-ae63-dccbd38a0908\",\"userUsername\":\"BTE\",\"content\":{\"content\":[{\"type\":\"paragraph\",\"content\":[{\"type\":\"mention\",\"attrs\":{\"label\":\"jack\",\"id\":\"VgNsXlnik8Xn5fvelzZH\"}},{\"text\":\"
        The DoJ appeal was only to access the classified documents. They won. Unequivocally.
        \",\"type\":\"text\"}]}],\"type\":\"doc\"},\"userName\":\"BTE\",\"createdTime\":1664056557016},{\"userUsername\":\"jack\",\"contractId\":\"z8awccgKF9qEreoG6FsH\",\"createdTime\":1664056134581,\"contractQuestion\":\"Will
        the Trump special master case be substantially reversed by end of year?\",\"commenterPositionShares\":2154,\"contractSlug\":\"will-the-trump-special-master-case\",\"id\":\"VgNsXlnik8Xn5fvelzZH\",\"userAvatarUrl\":\"https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2FJackC%2Fmetal-jacks-thumbnail.jpg?alt=media&token=89d230f3-05a9-4ad4-9606-5fc6e2c6b096\",\"commenterPositionOutcome\":\"NO\",\"betOutcome\":\"NO\",\"content\":{\"type\":\"doc\",\"content\":[{\"content\":[{\"attrs\":{\"label\":\"BTE\",\"id\":\"sXzD7Fe2Vh7DX6yZ8o6R\"},\"type\":\"mention\"},{\"text\":\"
        The criminal investigation was about all the documents, not just the classified
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        Those are the documents pertinent to the criminal investigation, which the
        special master order had completely put on hold until December. Now that hold
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        I completely disagree. The ONLY part that mattered was the confidential documents.\"}],\"type\":\"paragraph\"}]}},{\"contractSlug\":\"will-the-trump-special-master-case\",\"commenterPositionShares\":2074,\"commenterPositionOutcome\":\"NO\",\"id\":\"LIpBKoTrS0LxfQ7Bd6U9\",\"userId\":\"YGZdZUSFQyM8j2YzPaBqki8NBz23\",\"userAvatarUrl\":\"https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2FJackC%2Fmetal-jacks-thumbnail.jpg?alt=media&token=89d230f3-05a9-4ad4-9606-5fc6e2c6b096\",\"contractId\":\"z8awccgKF9qEreoG6FsH\",\"userUsername\":\"jack\",\"commentType\":\"contract\",\"commenterPositionProb\":0.8899999999999999,\"createdTime\":1664054997660,\"userName\":\"Jack\",\"contractQuestion\":\"Will
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        There is no question this happened. The original judge has also modified her
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        to appoint a special master\",\"type\":\"text\"}]}]},{\"type\":\"listItem\",\"content\":[{\"type\":\"paragraph\",\"content\":[{\"type\":\"text\",\"text\":\"Reversal
        by the 11th Circuit, DC Circuit, or SCOTUS\"}]}]}]},{\"type\":\"paragraph\"},{\"type\":\"paragraph\",\"content\":[{\"type\":\"text\",\"text\":\"Absent
        a situation like this, this market will resolve NO\"},{\"type\":\"hardBreak\"}]},{\"content\":[{\"type\":\"text\",\"text\":\"Close
        date updated to 2022-09-28 11:59 pm\"}],\"type\":\"paragraph\"}],\"type\":\"doc\"},\"textDescription\":\"Resolution
        criteria here is intentionally ambiguous, as many things could lead to a substantial
        reversal of this decision. Non-exhaustive examples would include:\\n\\nA successful
        motion to reconsider\\n\\nInability to appoint a special master\\n\\nReversal
        by the 11th Circuit, DC Circuit, or SCOTUS\\n\\nAbsent a situation like this,
        this market will resolve NO\\n\\n\\nClose date updated to 2022-09-28 11:59
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      - /api/v0/market/[id]
      X-Vercel-Cache:
      - MISS
      X-Vercel-Id:
      - cle1::cle1::s8tl4-1665610284943-d065455d6170
      content-length:
      - '430722'
    status:
      code: 200
      message: OK
version: 1